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Crassus
Every Saturday, Crassus publishes 50 picks for the US and European stock markets. A quant engine scores candidates on six factors and delivers them with a scoreboard, market indicators and commentary.
Methodology
How Crassus selects picks.
The engine scores candidates on six factors. Each stock gets a total score from 0 to 100. The 50 highest scores make the weekly selection.
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01
Fundamentals
Quality of the company itself: margins, return on equity, debt position, cash flow.
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02
Financials
Results over recent quarters: revenue growth, earnings growth, consistency. Preferably compared within the same sector.
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03
Technicals
Price pattern: moving averages, RSI, MACD. Especially relevant for weighing entry points.
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04
Sentiment
What analysts say, how the stock moves relative to its 52-week high, and price recommendations.
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05
PEG ratio
Price/earnings ratio divided by expected growth. A popular combined measure for "value versus growth".
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06
Momentum
Returns over recent periods (1, 3 and 6 months) weighted against each other. With a deduction for excessive spikes (no pump-and-dump).
Shadow portfolio
How is the scoreboard doing?
Since the start, Crassus has kept a shadow portfolio (NAV 100). Each week the picks are bought notionally and performance is compared with the main indices.
Schaduwportefeuille
+18.4%
S&P 500
+11.2%
Nasdaq 100
+14.8%
MSCI Europe
+7.9%
Euro Stoxx 50
+6.3%
Indicative figures, notional portfolio. Current figures are in the newsletter.
Transparency comes before selling here. What works gets highlighted, and what doesn't isn't swept under the rug either. The system learns from its own performance, and the factor weights are adjusted periodically if one of the six consistently pulls less weight in the results.
Newsletter
What an edition looks like.
Every Saturday morning, Crassus lands in your inbox. Picks, scoreboard, market indicators and short commentary on the most notable selections.
Crassus — Week 21
Market context
Volatility back towards normal levels. VIX below 18, breadth in the S&P 500 improved compared with last week. European small caps relatively stronger than large caps. Defensive sectors cautiously regained some ground.
Top 5 picks this week
- NVIDIA Corp — score 87 — momentum + sentiment
- ASML Holding — score 84 — fundamentals + PEG
- Microsoft Corp — score 82 — financials + technicals
- LVMH — score 80 — fundamentals + sentiment
- Salesforce — score 79 — financials + momentum
Sample view. The full newsletter has 50 picks plus commentary.
Opens in a new tab, with its own styling.
The story
Why Crassus?
Crassus is named after Marcus Licinius Crassus, one of the three most powerful men of the late Roman Republic and in his day probably the richest man in the world. He made his fortune not with one brilliant move, but with systematic action: buying property at the right moments, gathering knowledge before others had it and spreading risk where his contemporaries bet everything on one card.
The parallel with stock markets is no coincidence. Anyone who consistently makes returns on the market doesn't do so by betting everything on one company once, but by building a system that applies the same discipline time and again.
The first version of Crassus was an Excel sheet I started keeping in 2023. Once a week, on Saturday morning, I'd sit with coffee scoring the candidates. When I noticed I was starting to waver on the criteria at more than 30 candidates, it was time to automate. A Python script became a web app, and eventually the tool running here.
What I've learned from it: the biggest difference between a good and a bad investment system isn't in the factors themselves, but in the discipline to apply them consistently. The factors are classic. What Crassus adds is that the system doesn't forget, doesn't get emotional and doesn't "sit one out" because it's on holiday.